Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 2 Aug 2024

Jastrzebie Zdroj
0-1 HT 0-1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
📅02/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jastrzebie Zdroj v Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.67/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.55
+12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards –

Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
0-1
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki nicked a narrow win over Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Jastrzebie Zdroj at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Jastrzebie Zdroj had 53% of the ball to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 47%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 2nd Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jastrzebie Zdroj win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 45%, draw 24%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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