CF Os Belenenses 2-1 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 2 Aug 2024

CF Os Belenenses
2-1 HT 2-1
Caldas
📅02/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CF Os Belenenses v Caldas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.39/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.55
+11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Caldas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.02.2023 Caldas Caldas 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
06.11.2022 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3

CF Os Belenenses 2-1 Caldas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
2-1
AWAY Caldas
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses nicked a narrow win over Caldas 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 35% — and on the day CF Os Belenenses made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 38% of the ball to Caldas's 62%, shots finished 7-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CF Os Belenenses had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 0.50 for Caldas.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas?

CF Os Belenenses 2-1 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 40%, draw 26%, Caldas 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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