02/08/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-2
Maroons vs BUL Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
24%
Draw
27%
51%
Away Win
46%
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
47%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maroons v BUL — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Maroons
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
BUL
EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
42%
Ball Possession
58%
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
259 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
389 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Maroons vs BUL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Maroons and BUL couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was BUL at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Maroons vs BUL?
Maroons 1-1 BUL in the UGS8 on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maroons vs BUL?
Before kick-off our model rated an BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Maroons 25%, draw 24%, BUL 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BUL), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (BUL)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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