Louny 1-4 Chomutov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
53%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
53%
Away Win
50%
+3.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.2pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Louny EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chomutov EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -61% / -61%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -71%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Louny vs Chomutov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chomutov cruised past Louny 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chomutov as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Louny vs Chomutov?

Louny 1-4 Chomutov in the Czech Republic - Cup on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Louny vs Chomutov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chomutov win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Louny 27%, draw 20%, Chomutov 53%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chomutov), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chomutov) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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