St. Johnstone 5-1 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 2 Aug 2025

St. Johnstone
5-1 HT 3-1
Partick Thistle
📅02/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

St. Johnstone vs Partick Thistle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
17.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.71
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
11%
4.42
X/2
10%
7.4
X/X
11%
4.5
2/1
10%
26.0
2/2
11%
5.93
2/X
7%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Johnstone v Partick Thistle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +7%
3.45/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.53
+112% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 66%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
14.0 Crosses 21.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

St. Johnstone vs Partick Thistle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Partick Thistle
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
The Meetings
28.04.2018 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKP
27.01.2018 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-3 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKP
28.10.2017 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
19.08.2017 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKP
08.08.2017 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-3 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKLK
13.05.2017 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKP
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone swept aside Partick Thistle 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.33 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Partick Thistle?

St. Johnstone 5-1 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 48%, draw 23%, Partick Thistle 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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