Gefle 1-1 Karlbergs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 45%
+13% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.57/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.32
+7% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Karlbergs BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
17.05.2025 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 0-1 HT 0-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
1-1
AWAY Karlbergs BK
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gefle vs Karlbergs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gefle and Karlbergs BK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Karlbergs BK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Gefle had 43% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 57%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Gefle vs Karlbergs BK?

Gefle 1-1 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs Karlbergs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karlbergs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gefle 31%, draw 26%, Karlbergs BK 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karlbergs BK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karlbergs BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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