İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-1 KR Reykjavik — Result, Stats & Model Review (Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 2 Aug 2025)

İB Vestmannaeyjar

2-1 HT 1-1

KR Reykjavik

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗

Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2025

İB Vestmannaeyjar vs KR Reykjavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

38%

2.46

Draw

28%

3.72

Away

34%

2.32

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49%

Over 2.5

51%

Both Teams to Score

Yes

52%

1.39

48%

2.75

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

27%

2-3 Goals

40%

4-5 Goals

24%

6+ Goals

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

17%

1/2

1/X

X/1

15%

X/2

X/X

14%

2/1

2/2

19%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

38%

Home Win

37%

+1.3pp

28%

Draw

24%

+4.6pp

33%

Away Win

39%

-5.9pp

52%

BTTS Yes

68%

-15.7pp

48%

BTTS No

32%

+15.7pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İB Vestmannaeyjar v KR Reykjavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar EU Bookmakers 41%

Head to Head

AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 43%

+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -19%

1.10/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.81

+10% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -23%

46% Ball Possession 54%

14 Total Shots 13

6 Shots on Target 6

6 Corners 6

212 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 72%

16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.3

13.6 Crosses 20.7

0.3 Yellow Cards 3.4

İB Vestmannaeyjar vs KR Reykjavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar

1W-2D-3L

AWAY KR Reykjavik

2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50

2.12 xG 1.65

40% Ball Possession 60%

15 Total Shots 13

6 Shots on Target 6

6 Corners 9

175 Passes 305

61% Pass Accuracy 70%

22 Box Touches 25

19 Crosses 20

2 Yellow Cards 2

The Meetings

14.05.2025 KR Reykjavik

2-4 HT 1-1

İB Vestmannaeyjar İZK

10.05.2025 KR Reykjavik

4-1 HT 2-1

İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL

06.03.2025 KR Reykjavik

6-3

İB Vestmannaeyjar İZLK

05.03.2025 KR Reykjavik

6-3

İB Vestmannaeyjar İZLK

03.09.2023 İB Vestmannaeyjar

2-2 HT 1-0

KR Reykjavik İZL

10.06.2023 KR Reykjavik

1-1 HT 0-0

İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL

İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-1 KR Reykjavik — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar

2-1

AWAY KR Reykjavik

3.32 xG 1.77

27% Ball Possession 73%

18 Total Shots 14

5 Shots on Target 4

7 Corners 6

122 Passes 498

57% Pass Accuracy 88%

27 Box Touches 21

14 Crosses 19

5 Yellow Cards 2

POST-MATCH İB Vestmannaeyjar vs KR Reykjavik

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İB Vestmannaeyjar squeezed past KR Reykjavik 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; İB Vestmannaeyjar found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, İB Vestmannaeyjar had 27% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 73%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 3.32 to 1.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İB Vestmannaeyjar's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for İB Vestmannaeyjar and 3.50 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of İB Vestmannaeyjar vs KR Reykjavik?

İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-1 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İB Vestmannaeyjar vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a İB Vestmannaeyjar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split İB Vestmannaeyjar 38%, draw 28%, KR Reykjavik 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes

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