Sport Recife 0-0 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.65
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.78
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
10%
14.15
X/1
14%
6.13
X/2
13%
4.98
X/X
10%
3.87
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
18%
3.46
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.19/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.54
-7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
20.1 Crosses 17.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Recife
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Bahia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.76 xG 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2023 Sport Recife Sport Recife 6-0 HT 3-0 Bahia Bahia BRCDN
13.09.2022 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR2
09.06.2022 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
05.03.2022 Bahia Bahia 2-3 HT 0-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BRCDN
19.11.2021 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
02.08.2021 Bahia Bahia 0-1 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Recife
0-0
AWAY Bahia
0.58 xG 0.92
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
226 Passes 478
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sport Recife vs Bahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Recife and Bahia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sport Recife had 34% of the ball to Bahia's 66%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.58 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Recife had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sport Recife and 0.50 for Bahia.

What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Bahia?

Sport Recife 0-0 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Bahia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 34%, draw 26%, Bahia 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bahia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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