La Equidad 0-1 Union Magdalena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.38/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.85
-14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
18.6 Crosses 12.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Union Magdalena
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.28 xG 1.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
218 Passes 270
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2025 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
05.09.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
19.03.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
22.10.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 4-1 HT 3-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
06.05.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-1 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
28.07.2019 La Equidad La Equidad 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
0-1
AWAY Union Magdalena
0.62 xG 0.90
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
426 Passes 258
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Union Magdalena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Magdalena squeezed past La Equidad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was La Equidad at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, La Equidad had 59% of the ball to Union Magdalena's 41%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.62 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for La Equidad and 0.50 for Union Magdalena.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Union Magdalena?

La Equidad 0-1 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Primera on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Union Magdalena?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 46%, draw 30%, Union Magdalena 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (La Equidad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Equidad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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