Lokomotiv Oslo 3-2 SF Grei — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.38
No
44%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Lokomotiv Oslo win — 40%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.3pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Oslo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY SF Grei EU Bookmakers 43%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.73/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/2.51
-16% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Oslo
1W-2D-0L
AWAY SF Grei
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 SF Grei SF Grei 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Oslo Lokomotiv Oslo NOR4
14.07.2022 SF Grei SF Grei 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Oslo Lokomotiv Oslo NOR4
22.05.2022 Lokomotiv Oslo Lokomotiv Oslo 1-1 HT 0-0 SF Grei SF Grei NOR4
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Oslo vs SF Grei
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Oslo edged past SF Grei 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Lokomotiv Oslo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Oslo had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiv Oslo and 1.00 for SF Grei.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Oslo vs SF Grei?

Lokomotiv Oslo 3-2 SF Grei in the Norway - 3rd Division on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Oslo vs SF Grei?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Oslo 40%, draw 23%, SF Grei 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Oslo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Oslo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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