Changchun YaTai 2-2 Hebei Kungfu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
3.77
6+ Goals
7%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 33% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.2pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.2pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 31%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +17%
0.68/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.81
-64% / -77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +66%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
27.0 Crosses 14.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.56 xG 0.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
318 Passes 293
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 3
21.03.2026 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-0 HT 1-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
2-2
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.92 xG 1.17
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
377 Passes 256
7 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Hebei Kungfu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai and Hebei Kungfu couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Changchun YaTai at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.92 to 1.17.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Hebei Kungfu?

Changchun YaTai 2-2 Hebei Kungfu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Hebei Kungfu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changchun YaTai win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 44%, draw 33%, Hebei Kungfu 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Changchun YaTai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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