St. Louis 1-1 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.53
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.87
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
4%
12.25
X/1
7%
5.26
X/2
9%
6.91
X/X
11%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.8
2/2
11%
4.39
2/X
8%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Louis EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
Crosses 16.9
Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Louis
1-1
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.75 xG 1.51
20 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
578 Passes 250
40 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Louis vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Louis and Real Salt Lake shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was St. Louis at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.75 to 1.51.

What was the final score of St. Louis vs Real Salt Lake?

St. Louis 1-1 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Louis vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split St. Louis 50%, draw 23%, Real Salt Lake 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Louis), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Louis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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