Palmeiras 3-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
12.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.3 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.44
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
25.0
X/1
15%
3.48
X/2
5%
21.8
X/X
9%
7.14
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
4%
21.4
2/X
6%
30.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
70%
-5.1pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.1pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
397 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.8 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
3-0
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.62 xG 0.89
18 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
502 Passes 279
29 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palmeiras vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras swept aside Fortaleza CEIF 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.62 to 0.89.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Palmeiras 3-0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Brazil - Cup on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 65%, draw 21%, Fortaleza CEIF 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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