CSKA Sofia 2-1 Dunav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.27
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
75%
-12.8pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.3pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunav EU Bookmakers 11%
-9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.97/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -10%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
456 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
2-1
AWAY Dunav
21 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Dunav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia nicked a narrow win over Dunav 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 21-4.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Dunav?

CSKA Sofia 2-1 Dunav in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Dunav?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 62%, draw 23%, Dunav 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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