Union Berlin 2-2 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+7.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Berlin EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.31/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.62
-8% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -50%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Berlin
2-2
AWAY Cagliari
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Union Berlin vs Cagliari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Berlin and Cagliari couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Union Berlin at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Cagliari?

Union Berlin 2-2 Cagliari in the Friendlies on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Cagliari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 42%, draw 27%, Cagliari 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Berlin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
2 Aug 2026
14:00 Germania Ratingen vs Schermbeck Analysis →
14:30 Leyton Orient vs Royal Antwerp Analysis →
15:00 Luton Town vs Go Ahead Eagles Analysis →
15:30 Volendam vs Ajax Analysis →
15:30 Utrecht vs Sevilla Analysis →
15:30 Alemannia Aachen vs Eintracht Trier Analysis →