Wolfsburg (K) 3-3 Werder Bremen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 2 Sep 2024

Wolfsburg (K)
3-3 HT 1-2
Werder Bremen (K)
📅02/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Wolfsburg (K) vs Werder Bremen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.16
Draw
25%
7.13
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
82%
-19.8pp
25%
Draw
11%
+13.8pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolfsburg (K) v Werder Bremen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
3.88/0.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.57
+53% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +36%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 70%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
18.0 Crosses 14.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Wolfsburg (K) 3-3 Werder Bremen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
3-3
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
2.30 xG 1.08
69% Ball Possession 31%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
439 Passes 141
83% Pass Accuracy 59%
38 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) and Werder Bremen (K) shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Wolfsburg (K) at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Wolfsburg (K) had 69% of the ball to Werder Bremen (K)'s 31%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.30 to 1.08.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Wolfsburg (K) 3-3 Werder Bremen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg (K) 62%, draw 25%, Werder Bremen (K) 13%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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