Amed SK 3-0 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Sep 2024

Amed SK
3-0 HT 1-0
Kocaelispor
📅02/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Amed SK vs Kocaelispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.63
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.15
1/2
4%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
18%
5.56
X/2
10%
5.21
X/X
13%
3.87
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2 EV+ ✗
26%
3.79
2/X
5%
13.55
Value flag · 2/2 at 3.79 — our 26% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Amed SK v Kocaelispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
– Crosses 18.8
– Yellow Cards 2.4

Amed SK 3-0 Kocaelispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
3-0
AWAY Kocaelispor
2.35 xG 0.10
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
626 Passes 189
91% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 1
12 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK ran out comfortable winners over Kocaelispor 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kocaelispor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Amed SK had 73% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 27%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 2.35 to 0.10.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs Kocaelispor?

Amed SK 3-0 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 34%, draw 26%, Kocaelispor 41%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kocaelispor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →