VVSB 1-2 Capelle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 2 Sep 2025

VVSB
1-2 HT 0-1
Capelle
📅02/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.18
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
80%
-7.8pp
16%
Draw
11%
+4.6pp
12%
Away Win
9%
+3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVSB EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Capelle EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -41%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
466 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVSB
1-2
AWAY Capelle
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VVSB vs Capelle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Capelle squeezed past VVSB 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had VVSB at 72% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, VVSB had 51% of the ball to Capelle's 49%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of VVSB vs Capelle?

VVSB 1-2 Capelle in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 02/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVSB vs Capelle?

Before kick-off our model rated a VVSB win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split VVSB 72%, draw 16%, Capelle 12%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VVSB) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VVSB) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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