Maritimo U23 2-1 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 2 Sep 2025

📅02/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
54%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.55
No
37%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
30%
-6.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
54%
Away Win
45%
+8.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.1pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-29% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
348 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo U23
2-1
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Maritimo U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo U23 squeezed past Gil Vicente U23 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gil Vicente U23 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Maritimo U23 had 42% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 58%, shots finished 14-14.

What was the final score of Maritimo U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Maritimo U23 2-1 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 02/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Maritimo U23 24%, draw 22%, Gil Vicente U23 54%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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