02/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Jiskra Domazlice vs Jablonec Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
41%
4-5
26%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Away Win
Over 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
10%
17%
Draw
16%
59%
Away Win
74%
39%
Under 2.5
35%
61%
Over 2.5
65%
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
55%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jiskra Domazlice v Jablonec — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jiskra Domazlice
EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Jablonec
EU Bookmakers 78%
+5% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
0.98/3.10
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.88/0.76
+10%
/
-1%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-7%
/
+19%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
9
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Target
8
3
Corners
7
282 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
504 · 86%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
0.0
Jiskra Domazlice vs Jablonec Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Jiskra Domazlice
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Jablonec
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
27.09.2023
Jiskra Domazlice
1-1
HT 1-0
Jablonec
ÇEKK
1-1
HT 1-0
Jablonec
ÇEKK
POST-MATCH
Jiskra Domazlice vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Jablonec beat Jiskra Domazlice 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Jiskra Domazlice vs Jablonec?
Jiskra Domazlice 0-2 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Cup on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jiskra Domazlice vs Jablonec?
Before kick-off our model rated an Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Jiskra Domazlice 25%, draw 17%, Jablonec 59%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Jablonec)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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