East Riffa 2-4 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 2 Oct 2024

East Riffa
2-4 HT 1-2
Al Najma
📅02/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2025/2026

East Riffa vs Al Najma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.03
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 31% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.8pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

East Riffa v Al Najma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Riffa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.44/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.69
+0% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

East Riffa vs Al Najma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Riffa
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Najma
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.04.2024 East Riffa East Riffa 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
21.10.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 2-1 HT 1-1 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
14.02.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
04.01.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
02.09.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 1-2 HT 0-2 East Riffa East Riffa BAHK
13.03.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 0-1 HT 0-1 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
POST-MATCH East Riffa vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma got the better of East Riffa 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Najma found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, East Riffa had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for East Riffa and 1.17 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of East Riffa vs Al Najma?

East Riffa 2-4 Al Najma in the Bahrain - Premier League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Riffa vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split East Riffa 39%, draw 23%, Al Najma 38%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (East Riffa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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