Deportivo Saprissa 0-3 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.29
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
1.97
Over
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Deportivo Saprissa win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
-10.1pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.4pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+9.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 12%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
3.00/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+10% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
462 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 78%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.7 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Antigua GFC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.09.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa CONOAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
0-3
AWAY Antigua GFC
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC swept aside Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Deportivo Saprissa at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 62% of the ball to Antigua GFC's 38%, shots finished 22-8.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Antigua GFC?

Deportivo Saprissa 0-3 Antigua GFC in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 63%, draw 18%, Antigua GFC 19%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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