USM Alger 2-1 Biskra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.37
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.24
6+ Goals
10%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
68%
-18.5pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.9pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.9pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Biskra EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.90/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.49
+9% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +10%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Biskra
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.04.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 3-1 HT 1-1 Biskra Biskra CZYRK
25.03.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 1-0 HT 0-0 Biskra Biskra CZYR
18.11.2023 Biskra Biskra 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
07.06.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 1-0 HT 0-0 Biskra Biskra CZYR
28.12.2022 Biskra Biskra 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
11.03.2022 Biskra Biskra 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
2-1
AWAY Biskra
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs Biskra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger squeezed past Biskra 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM Alger had 57% of the ball to Biskra's 43%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, USM Alger had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for USM Alger and 0.50 for Biskra.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs Biskra?

USM Alger 2-1 Biskra in the Algeria - 1st Division on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs Biskra?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 50%, draw 28%, Biskra 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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