Unia Skierniewice vs Motor Lublin Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Unia Skierniewice v Motor Lublin — Team-Based Signals
Unia Skierniewice 1-1 Motor Lublin — Actual Match Statistics
Unia Skierniewice and Motor Lublin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Motor Lublin at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Unia Skierniewice had 37% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 63%, shots finished 10-26.
What was the final score of Unia Skierniewice vs Motor Lublin?
Unia Skierniewice 1-1 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Cup on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Unia Skierniewice vs Motor Lublin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Unia Skierniewice 20%, draw 22%, Motor Lublin 58%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.