Nove Zamky 1-1 Samorin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - Cup, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
54%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
17%
+7.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
55%
Away Win
63%
-8.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nove Zamky EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Samorin EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nove Zamky
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Samorin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 12
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 5
21.09.2022 Nove Zamky Nove Zamky 1-2 HT 0-1 Samorin Samorin SLOVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nove Zamky
1-1
AWAY Samorin
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nove Zamky vs Samorin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nove Zamky and Samorin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Samorin at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Nove Zamky had 48% of the ball to Samorin's 52%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Nove Zamky vs Samorin?

Nove Zamky 1-1 Samorin in the Slovakia - Cup on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nove Zamky vs Samorin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Samorin win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nove Zamky 24%, draw 22%, Samorin 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Samorin), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samorin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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