BUL 0-2 Mbarara City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 2 Oct 2024

BUL
0-2 HT 0-1
Mbarara City
📅02/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

BUL vs Mbarara City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.47
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.75
No
65%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
64%
-0.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.2pp
35%
BTTS Yes
32%
+2.6pp
65%
BTTS No
68%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BUL v Mbarara City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Mbarara City EU Bookmakers 16%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.49/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.23
+31% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

BUL vs Mbarara City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mbarara City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
02.11.2021 BUL BUL 1-0 HT 0-0 Mbarara City Mbarara City UGA

BUL 0-2 Mbarara City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
0-2
AWAY Mbarara City
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BUL vs Mbarara City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mbarara City saw off BUL 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. BUL carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, BUL had 68% of the ball to Mbarara City's 32%, shots finished 17-6.

What was the final score of BUL vs Mbarara City?

BUL 0-2 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Mbarara City?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split BUL 64%, draw 21%, Mbarara City 16%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (BUL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BUL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →