Pachuca (K) 5-0 Alajuelense (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONK, 2 Oct 2025

📅02/10/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
76%
1.16
Draw
13%
7.78
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
37%
4-5
28%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
32%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Pachuca (K) win — 76%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
82%
-6.4pp
13%
Draw
10%
+2.6pp
11%
Away Win
7%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / +38%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca (K)
5-0
AWAY Alajuelense (K)
81% Ball Possession 19%
23 Total Shots 1
15 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Pachuca (K) vs Alajuelense (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca (K) swept aside Alajuelense (K) 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pachuca (K) as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Pachuca (K) had 81% of the ball to Alajuelense (K)'s 19%, shots finished 23-1.

What was the final score of Pachuca (K) vs Alajuelense (K)?

Pachuca (K) 5-0 Alajuelense (K) in the CONK on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca (K) vs Alajuelense (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Pachuca (K) 76%, draw 13%, Alajuelense (K) 11%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pachuca (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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