LDU Portoviejo 1-3 Universidad Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 2 Oct 2025

📅02/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.59
Over 2.5
33%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
18%
+11.1pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.9pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-6.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.3pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Portoviejo EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Catolica EU Bookmakers 55%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH LDU Portoviejo vs Universidad Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Catolica got the better of LDU Portoviejo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universidad Catolica as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of LDU Portoviejo vs Universidad Catolica?

LDU Portoviejo 1-3 Universidad Catolica in the Ecuador - Cup on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Portoviejo vs Universidad Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split LDU Portoviejo 30%, draw 26%, Universidad Catolica 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Catolica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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