Roma U20 1-1 Cesena U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.3pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.4pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma U20 EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena U20 EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.98/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.65
-12% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
410 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma U20
1-1
AWAY Cesena U20
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roma U20 vs Cesena U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma U20 and Cesena U20 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Roma U20 at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roma U20 had 66% of the ball to Cesena U20's 34%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Roma U20 vs Cesena U20?

Roma U20 1-1 Cesena U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma U20 vs Cesena U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Roma U20 58%, draw 19%, Cesena U20 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma U20), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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