Villingen 2-4 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villingen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 45%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.52
+1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
268 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
POST-MATCH Villingen vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg saw off Villingen 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SGV Freiberg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Villingen vs SGV Freiberg?

Villingen 2-4 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villingen vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Villingen 35%, draw 24%, SGV Freiberg 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SGV Freiberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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