Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 Estudiantes Caseros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.36
Over 2.5
41%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
70%
-11.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
30%
+11.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.9pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.20/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.20
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
05.11.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
30.10.2022 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
02.10.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
21.08.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
11.04.2021 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 3-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Estudiantes Caseros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza and Estudiantes Caseros shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnasia Mendoza at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 0.60 for Estudiantes Caseros.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 48%, draw 31%, Estudiantes Caseros 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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