Austria Lustenau 0-1 Amstetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

Austria Lustenau
0-1 HT 0-0
Amstetten
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Austria Lustenau vs Amstetten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.19
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
17%
5.11
X/2
10%
6.16
X/X
7%
4.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
10%
4.14
2/X
11%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austria Lustenau v Amstetten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Amstetten EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.59/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.47
+5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.2 Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Austria Lustenau vs Amstetten Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Lustenau
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Amstetten
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.04.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 0-2 HT 0-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
11.09.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 3-1 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
08.05.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 4-2 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
04.12.2020 Amstetten Amstetten 3-2 HT 2-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
31.07.2020 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-3 HT 1-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
08.11.2019 Amstetten Amstetten 2-0 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
POST-MATCH Austria Lustenau vs Amstetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amstetten nicked a narrow win over Austria Lustenau 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Austria Lustenau at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Austria Lustenau and 1.83 for Amstetten.

What was the final score of Austria Lustenau vs Amstetten?

Austria Lustenau 0-1 Amstetten in the Austria - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Lustenau vs Amstetten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 44%, draw 26%, Amstetten 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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