La Louvière 3-1 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
38%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.19
6+ Goals
8%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 31% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
56%
-13.9pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.8pp
38%
Away Win
21%
+17.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Louvière EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.71/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.81
-14% / +138% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 72%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
16.5 Crosses 19.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Louvière
3-1
AWAY RFC Liege
2.59 xG 0.92
50% Ball Possession 50%
30 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
243 Passes 271
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
43 Box Touches 6
31 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH La Louvière vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Louvière got the better of RFC Liege 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 20% / 38% — and on the day La Louvière made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, La Louvière had 50% of the ball to RFC Liege's 50%, shots finished 30-4, expected goals 2.59 to 0.92.

What was the final score of La Louvière vs RFC Liege?

La Louvière 3-1 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Louvière vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Louvière win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split La Louvière 42%, draw 20%, RFC Liege 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Louvière) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (La Louvière) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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