Vendsyssel FF 1-1 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

Vendsyssel FF
1-1 HT 0-1
HB Koge
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
31%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 27% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.06
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
16%
4.0
X/2
10%
10.45
X/X
13%
5.45
2/1
10%
22.3
2/2
15%
7.84
2/X
8%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
57%
-16.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
31%
Away Win
19%
+11.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vendsyssel FF v HB Koge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.66/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.64
-2% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
387 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
22.3 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vendsyssel FF
4W-1D-1L
AWAY HB Koge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.56 xG 0.89
52% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
319 Passes 308
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.09.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 0-2 HT 0-2 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
26.11.2023 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 2-0 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
28.07.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 3-1 HT 0-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
23.10.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-0 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
31.07.2022 HB Koge HB Koge 1-2 HT 1-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
22.05.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-1 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1

Vendsyssel FF 1-1 HB Koge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vendsyssel FF
1-1
AWAY HB Koge
0.79 xG 0.40
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
439 Passes 207
77% Pass Accuracy 62%
23 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vendsyssel FF and HB Koge couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vendsyssel FF at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vendsyssel FF had 63% of the ball to HB Koge's 37%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.79 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vendsyssel FF had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vendsyssel FF and 0.83 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge?

Vendsyssel FF 1-1 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vendsyssel FF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vendsyssel FF 41%, draw 28%, HB Koge 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vendsyssel FF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vendsyssel FF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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