Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 0-4 PSV Eindhoven (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
9.57
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
60%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.63
Over 2.5
65%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.96
No
43%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
40%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
7%
+11.2pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.1pp
60%
Away Win
79%
-18.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
34%
+1.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
66%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+10.6pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/1.36
+123% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -36%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 545 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
05.11.2023 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
0-4
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K)
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 29
1 Shots on Target 14
2 Corners 14
126 Passes 451
57% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven (K) cruised past Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 4-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSV Eindhoven (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 29% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven (K)'s 71%, shots finished 6-29.

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 0-4 PSV Eindhoven (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 19%, draw 21%, PSV Eindhoven (K) 60%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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