Sofapaka 2-0 Homeboyz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

Sofapaka
2-0 HT 1-0
Homeboyz
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Sofapaka vs Homeboyz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sofapaka v Homeboyz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 34%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.15/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.75
-80% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -64%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Sofapaka vs Homeboyz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sofapaka
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Homeboyz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
10.04.2022 Sofapaka Sofapaka 1-1 HT 0-1 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN
POST-MATCH Sofapaka vs Homeboyz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sofapaka got the better of Homeboyz 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Sofapaka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Homeboyz?

Sofapaka 2-0 Homeboyz in the Kenya - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Homeboyz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sofapaka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 38%, draw 26%, Homeboyz 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sofapaka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sofapaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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