Povazska Bystrica 4-3 Samorin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Povazska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Samorin EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
2.01/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.98
+22% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Povazska Bystrica
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Samorin
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
43% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Samorin Samorin 2-3 HT 2-1 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica SLVK2
29.07.2023 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica 2-2 HT 1-1 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
26.02.2023 Samorin Samorin 0-0 HT 0-0 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica SLVK2
30.07.2022 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica 2-3 HT 2-1 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Povazska Bystrica
4-3
AWAY Samorin
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Povazska Bystrica vs Samorin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Povazska Bystrica nicked a narrow win over Samorin 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Povazska Bystrica as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Povazska Bystrica had 46% of the ball to Samorin's 54%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Povazska Bystrica and 1.75 for Samorin.

What was the final score of Povazska Bystrica vs Samorin?

Povazska Bystrica 4-3 Samorin in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Povazska Bystrica vs Samorin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Povazska Bystrica win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Povazska Bystrica 48%, draw 23%, Samorin 29%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Povazska Bystrica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Povazska Bystrica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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