Spartak Trnava 3-1 Zemplin Michalovce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 27% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-14.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 17%
-9% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.69/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.54
-17% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
23.7 Crosses 17.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.94 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
370 Passes 314
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
06.03.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLOVK
17.12.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-0 HT 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
16.09.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 3-4 HT 1-4 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
24.11.2022 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 4-1 HT 3-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
08.11.2022 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-2 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLOVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
3-1
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
1.77 xG 1.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
356 Passes 294
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Zemplin Michalovce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava saw off Zemplin Michalovce 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spartak Trnava as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 54% of the ball to Zemplin Michalovce's 46%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.77 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Trnava had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Spartak Trnava and 1.00 for Zemplin Michalovce.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Spartak Trnava 3-1 Zemplin Michalovce in the Slovakia Super League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 51%, draw 24%, Zemplin Michalovce 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Trnava) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✗ BTTS No
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