Al Taawon 1-1 Al Kholood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.24
6+ Goals
11%
21.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 33% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
1.40/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.77
+7% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
18.6 Crosses 8.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
1-1
AWAY Al Kholood
0.92 xG 1.75
69% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
564 Passes 223
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al Kholood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon and Al Kholood shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Taawon at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Al Taawon had 69% of the ball to Al Kholood's 31%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.92 to 1.75.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Kholood?

Al Taawon 1-1 Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Kholood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 47%, draw 24%, Al Kholood 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Taawon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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