Gabes 1-0 ES Metlaoui — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.51
Over 2.5
29%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
40%
2.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.57
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.26 — our 40% vs market 37.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.2pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.2pp
71%
Under 2.5
62%
+8.2pp
29%
Over 2.5
38%
-8.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.0pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gabes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
POST-MATCH Gabes vs ES Metlaoui
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gabes nicked a narrow win over ES Metlaoui 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gabes as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Gabes vs ES Metlaoui?

Gabes 1-0 ES Metlaoui in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gabes vs ES Metlaoui?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gabes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gabes 41%, draw 34%, ES Metlaoui 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gabes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gabes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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