Olympiakos 2-1 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.6
No
49%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.77
2-3 Goals
37%
2.04
4-5 Goals
25%
2.61
6+ Goals
13%
6.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
34.5
X/1
17%
3.34
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
8%
11.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
30.0
2/2
5%
34.5
2/X
7%
34.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 8% vs market 0.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
82%
-17.7pp
20%
Draw
12%
+8.7pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
34%
+16.8pp
49%
BTTS No
66%
-16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 8%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.23/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.19
+19% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -18%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 74%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
25.8 Crosses 9.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Panserraikos
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.97 xG 0.63
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
549 Passes 203
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
44 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 0
18.12.2023 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
20.08.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
15.01.2011 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-2 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
19.09.2010 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
17.01.2009 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
21.09.2008 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-1 HT 2-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
2-1
AWAY Panserraikos
1.70 xG 0.27
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
368 Passes 225
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 5
27 Crosses 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos nicked a narrow win over Panserraikos 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Olympiakos had 60% of the ball to Panserraikos's 40%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.70 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Olympiakos's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Olympiakos and 0.50 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Panserraikos?

Olympiakos 2-1 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 65%, draw 20%, Panserraikos 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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YUN More Greece - Super League
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