Lealtad 1-2 Atletico Astorga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
23%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-5.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lealtad EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Astorga EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lealtad
1-2
AWAY Atletico Astorga
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lealtad vs Atletico Astorga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Astorga nicked a narrow win over Lealtad 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lealtad at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lealtad had 58% of the ball to Atletico Astorga's 42%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Lealtad vs Atletico Astorga?

Lealtad 1-2 Atletico Astorga in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lealtad vs Atletico Astorga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lealtad win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lealtad 47%, draw 30%, Atletico Astorga 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lealtad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
2 Nov 2025
13:00 Elche II vs Orihuela Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Rayo Vallecano II Analysis →
14:00 Almeria II vs La Union Atletico Analysis →
14:00 Tenerife II vs Fuenlabrada Analysis →
14:00 Intercity Alicante vs Navalcarnero Analysis →
14:00 Deportiva Minera vs Real Jaen Analysis →