ESMTK 1-0 III. Kerületi TUE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
18%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
53%
+7.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ESMTK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY III. Kerületi TUE EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +66% / +66%
1.51/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-25% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ESMTK
1-0
AWAY III. Kerületi TUE
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ESMTK vs III. Kerületi TUE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ESMTK nicked a narrow win over III. Kerületi TUE 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ESMTK as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ESMTK had 43% of the ball to III. Kerületi TUE's 57%, shots finished 3-7.

What was the final score of ESMTK vs III. Kerületi TUE?

ESMTK 1-0 III. Kerületi TUE in the Hungary - NB III on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ESMTK vs III. Kerületi TUE?

Before kick-off our model rated a ESMTK win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split ESMTK 60%, draw 22%, III. Kerületi TUE 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ESMTK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ESMTK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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