Rancho Santana 2-1 UNAN Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+9.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 37%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.77/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.33
+22% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rancho Santana
1W-3D-1L
AWAY UNAN Managua
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-1 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
30.03.2025 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-1 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
03.02.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 0-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
08.11.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 2-3 HT 2-2 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
02.09.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-1 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rancho Santana
2-1
AWAY UNAN Managua
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rancho Santana vs UNAN Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rancho Santana squeezed past UNAN Managua 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was UNAN Managua at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rancho Santana had 52% of the ball to UNAN Managua's 48%, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rancho Santana and 1.00 for UNAN Managua.

What was the final score of Rancho Santana vs UNAN Managua?

Rancho Santana 2-1 UNAN Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rancho Santana vs UNAN Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated an UNAN Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rancho Santana 35%, draw 23%, UNAN Managua 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UNAN Managua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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