Spartak Kostroma 3-1 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.8pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.33/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.23
-3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Kostroma
3-1
AWAY Chernomorets
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Spartak Kostroma vs Chernomorets
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Spartak Kostroma beat Chernomorets 3-1 in the Russia - FNL on 2 Nov 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Spartak Kostroma had 49% of the ball to Chernomorets's 51%, shots finished 14-5.

What was the final score of Spartak Kostroma vs Chernomorets?

Spartak Kostroma 3-1 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Kostroma vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Spartak Kostroma 51%, draw 26%, Chernomorets 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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