Chelmsford City 2-3 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Dec 2024

Chelmsford City
2-3 HT 2-0
Boreham Wood
📅02/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Chelmsford City vs Boreham Wood Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 30% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelmsford City v Boreham Wood — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 46%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.09/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.49
-16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
243 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –

Chelmsford City 2-3 Boreham Wood — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
2-3
AWAY Boreham Wood
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood squeezed past Chelmsford City 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; Boreham Wood found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 40% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 60%, shots finished 13-19.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Boreham Wood?

Chelmsford City 2-3 Boreham Wood in the England - Conference on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 31%, draw 32%, Boreham Wood 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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