Motor Lublin 1-0 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 2 Dec 2024

Motor Lublin
1-0 HT 1-0
Radomiak Radom
📅02/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
14%
4.93
X/2
10%
6.94
X/X
13%
4.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.85
2/X
6%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Motor Lublin v Radomiak Radom — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -2%
1.51/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.49
-67% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
24.5 Crosses 18.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motor Lublin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
02.02.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-1 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin HAZ

Motor Lublin 1-0 Radomiak Radom — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motor Lublin
1-0
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.53 xG 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
387 Passes 324
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motor Lublin nicked a narrow win over Radomiak Radom 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Motor Lublin as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Motor Lublin had 52% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 48%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 1.53 to 0.75.

What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom?

Motor Lublin 1-0 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 44%, draw 25%, Radomiak Radom 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motor Lublin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motor Lublin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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