Al Najma 1-0 Jeddah Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒15:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.75
Over
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeddah Club EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.69/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.35
+25% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Jeddah Club
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Jeddah Club Jeddah Club 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
12.11.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 2-4 HT 1-1 Jeddah Club Jeddah Club SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Jeddah Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma edged past Jeddah Club 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Al Najma found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jeddah Club led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Najma and 3.00 for Jeddah Club.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Jeddah Club?

Al Najma 1-0 Jeddah Club in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Jeddah Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 40%, draw 28%, Jeddah Club 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD1 More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
2 Dec 2024
15:10 Al Faisaly vs Al-Jandal Analysis →