Sydney (K) 1-1 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 3 Jan 2024

📅03/01/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
25%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.1pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
347 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
291 Passes 258
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2018 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
15.12.2017 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
1-1
AWAY Canberra United (K)
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney (K) and Canberra United (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 47% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 53%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.00 for Canberra United (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Sydney (K) 1-1 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 43%, draw 32%, Canberra United (K) 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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