Maghreb Fes 2-1 Chabab Mohammedia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 3 Jan 2024

📅03/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
15%
5.8
6+ Goals
6%
41.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.3pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.1pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maghreb Fes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.13/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.91
-16% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
249 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maghreb Fes
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.06.2023 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 3-0 HT 1-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
15.01.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 1-0 HT 1-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
15.05.2022 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 1-3 HT 1-1 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
03.11.2021 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 1-1 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
14.07.2021 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 1-1 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
19.04.2021 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 1-1 HT 1-1 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maghreb Fes
2-1
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maghreb Fes vs Chabab Mohammedia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maghreb Fes edged past Chabab Mohammedia 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maghreb Fes as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maghreb Fes had 50% of the ball to Chabab Mohammedia's 50%, shots finished 18-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maghreb Fes had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Maghreb Fes and 1.17 for Chabab Mohammedia.

What was the final score of Maghreb Fes vs Chabab Mohammedia?

Maghreb Fes 2-1 Chabab Mohammedia in the Morocco - League on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maghreb Fes vs Chabab Mohammedia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maghreb Fes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Maghreb Fes 46%, draw 25%, Chabab Mohammedia 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maghreb Fes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maghreb Fes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAS More Morocco - League
3 Jan 2024
18:00 Wydad Casablanca vs Raja Casablanca Analysis →
20:00 Mouloudia Oujda vs FUS Rabat Analysis →
22:00 Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra Analysis →